Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1963 |
BOL
4 - 1
ASV
48%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1963 |
ASV
0 - 2
WOL
39%
22%
39%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
WOL
3 - 1
ASV
70%
17%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
ASV
0 - 2
SHW
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1963 |
ASV
1 - 2
MUD
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1963 |
CAR
5 - 2
SUN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
STO
2 - 1
SUN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
SUN
1 - 0
OPA
64%
19%
18%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1963 |
SUN
0 - 0
STO
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
PNE
1 - 1
SUN
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |