Asti FC vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asti FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 2
AST
37%
25%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AST
0 - 1
CHI
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AST
1 - 0
BOR
41%
26%
33%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AST
1 - 2
ACQ
43%
25%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AST
3 - 3
LAS
84%
11%
4%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAV
1 - 1
BOR
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
LAV
35%
27%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAV
3 - 1
PRO
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
LAV
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BOG
0 - 0
LAV
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |