Astana vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KAS
0 - 3
AST
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
AST
4 - 0
AKZ
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
AST
1 - 0
MAQ
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 1
AST
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AST
1 - 0
KYZ
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TOB
0 - 2
ATY
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
KAI
2 - 3
TOB
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TOB
4 - 0
ORD
38%
26%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TOB
2 - 2
TAR
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 0
TOB
39%
24%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |