Astana vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AST
1 - 2
KAI
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AST
1 - 0
FCA
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
AST
0 - 0
ATM
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AST
1 - 0
FCI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
AST
4 - 1
ATY
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
42%
26%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SLB
2 - 0
BOA
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
SLB
2 - 1
GAL
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
TON
0 - 4
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SLB
0 - 3
SCP
55%
22%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |