noscript image

Division 1. Norte, Matchday 19

Assyriska FF vs Gefle analysis

Assyriska FF Gefle
36 ELO 41
30% Tilt 90%
3759º General ELO ranking 3037º
55º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
32.2%
Assyriska FF
21.2%
Draw
46.6%
Gefle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
Assyriska FF
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
46.6%
Win probability
Gefle
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Assyriska FF
+6%
+17%
Gefle

Basic stats

2
1
GF
1
2
GC
36
41
ELO
1.7
2
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Assyriska FF
Their league position
Gefle
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
16º
14º
30
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brommapojkarna
53
69
95%
Sandvikens IF
46
60
41%
IF Karlstad
41
55
28%
Dalkurd FF
40
56
28%
Umeå
37
50
27%
Sollentuna
31
42
15%
Örebro Syrianska
31
39
14%
Gefle
30
42
12%
Sylvia
29
41
12%
Piteå
10º
29
37
10º
14%
Haninge
11º
28
36
11º
15%
IFK Luleå
12º
20
29
14º
16%
Hudiksvall
13º
20
28
16º
17%
Assyriska FF
14º
19
29
13º
16%
Hammarby TFF
15º
18
30
12º
18%
Täby
16º
18
28
15º
16%
Expected probabilities
Assyriska FF
Gefle
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
33% 92%
Relegation playoffs
17% 2%
Relegation
50% 6%

ELO progression

Gefle
GEF
Assyriska FF
ASS
Sylvia
SYL
Täby
TAB
Brommapojkarna
BRO
Haninge
HAN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Assyriska FF
Assyriska FF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ASS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2021
KAR
IF Karlstad
4 - 0
Assyriska FF
ASS
47%
27%
26%
486 558 72 -3
22 Aug. 2021
ASS
Assyriska FF
1 - 2
IFK Luleå
IFK
51%
26%
23%
488 321 167 -2
15 Aug. 2021
ASS
Assyriska FF
1 - 2
Sollentuna
SOL
49%
26%
25%
490 398 92 -2
10 Jul. 2021
ORE
Örebro Syrianska
4 - 3
Assyriska FF
ASS
39%
28%
33%
493 201 -292 -2
04 Jul. 2021
SYL
Sylvia
4 - 0
Assyriska FF
ASS
40%
28%
32%
496 290 -206 -4

Matches

Gefle
Gefle
1%
X%
2%
ELO GEF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2021
GEF
Gefle
1 - 0
Sandvikens IF
SAN
53%
25%
22%
628 444 184 +2
21 Aug. 2021
DAL
Dalkurd FF
2 - 1
Gefle
GEF
45%
27%
28%
630 602 -28 -2
15 Aug. 2021
IFK
IFK Luleå
2 - 3
Gefle
GEF
39%
28%
33%
629 322 -307 +1
10 Jul. 2021
GEF
Gefle
2 - 1
IF Karlstad
KAR
47%
27%
26%
627 557 70 +2
03 Jul. 2021
GEF
Gefle
0 - 1
Brommapojkarna
BRO
47%
27%
26%
629 572 57 -2