Assumption vs Customs United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assumption
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
RAJ
1 - 1
ASS
13%
19%
68%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 1
SPU
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
ASS
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 1
RBA
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RAN
1 - 1
ASS
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Customs United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
CUS
1 - 1
NBC
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CUS
0 - 1
PAK
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
RAJ
0 - 2
CUS
13%
20%
67%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
TTM
1 - 0
CUS
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CUS
3 - 0
SPU
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |