ASSU vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 1
ASS
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 2
PAL
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
GLO
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ARN
4 - 0
ASS
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 2
POT
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 3
GLO
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
0 - 1
ALE
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 0
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
ALE
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |