Assi vs Morön analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 0
ASI
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ASI
1 - 1
ANU
20%
21%
59%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MSK
0 - 0
ASI
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ASI
0 - 4
SKE
27%
23%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -3 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
BOD
4 - 2
ASI
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Morön
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HUD
8 - 2
MOR
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 2
HAR
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ANU
5 - 1
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 4
MSK
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
SKE
2 - 0
MOR
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |