Assago vs Corbetta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+263%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CES
1 - 1
ASS
36%
24%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 1
BRE
41%
24%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
SET
0 - 2
ASS
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FRO
1 - 0
ASS
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ASS
0 - 0
FER
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Corbetta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SIZ
0 - 3
COR
56%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COR
1 - 2
SPE
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
COR
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
ACC
0 - 1
COR
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
VIG
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |