Aspe vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
HOR
3 - 2
ASP
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ASP
0 - 4
THA
50%
24%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 1
ASP
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ASP
1 - 3
ALB
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
TOR
3 - 0
ASP
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 3
PIN
31%
29%
40%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
ORI
7 - 1
CAL
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 1
ALT
34%
27%
40%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALG
3 - 0
CAL
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 1
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |