St. Valentin vs Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
UNP
1 - 2
ASV
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ASV
0 - 0
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1964 |
ASV
2 - 3
VIE
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 76 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
BAD
1 - 0
GRI
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
OED
5 - 0
BAD
88%
8%
3%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
VOC
2 - 0
BAD
82%
13%
5%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
BAD
1 - 0
WEL
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SSM
3 - 1
BAD
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |