Kohfidisch vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
41.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
13º
13º
48
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kohfidisch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SPG
0 - 1
ASK
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ASK
2 - 1
SVS
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
USV
1 - 0
ASK
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
KLI
0 - 0
ASK
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 5
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STM
2 - 0
MAR
68%
17%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 2
STM
61%
20%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STM
1 - 0
BAS
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
4 - 1
STM
42%
23%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
STM
0 - 3
PAR
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |