Kohfidisch vs Oberwart / Rotenturm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
75.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
8º
16º
12º
74
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kohfidisch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALL
3 - 2
ASK
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WEI
1 - 0
ASK
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
RIT
3 - 3
ASK
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASK
1 - 1
BAS
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KLI
2 - 0
ASK
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oberwart / Rotenturm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
OBR
4 - 0
GUS
88%
9%
4%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
OBR
5 - 0
FCA
90%
8%
3%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DEU
0 - 4
OBR
21%
20%
59%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
OBR
2 - 0
USV
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STM
0 - 3
OBR
21%
20%
60%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |