FA Cup . 1/1024
Global 5-3
Ashton United vs Atherton Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
5 - 0
ASH
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ASH
3 - 1
DUN
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ASH
2 - 1
HYD
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WHI
1 - 3
ASH
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
RYL
2 - 0
ASH
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atherton Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 4
RAD
12%
21%
66%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 4
ATH
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 2
LAN
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
ATH
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
MAT
3 - 0
ATH
67%
21%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |