Ashford United vs Binfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
ASH
2 - 1
SEV
37%
25%
39%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ASH
2 - 3
BEC
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ERI
0 - 1
ASH
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HYB
0 - 3
ASH
15%
17%
68%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
ASH
0 - 0
BOW
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Binfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
BIN
57%
21%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BIN
2 - 2
NOR
28%
25%
47%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
4 - 1
BIN
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BIN
1 - 1
CHI
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
WAE
0 - 2
BIN
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |