ASFAN vs Olympic Niamey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ASF
3 - 1
NIG
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ASF
0 - 0
URA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TAG
1 - 2
ASF
23%
29%
48%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
SON
0 - 0
ASF
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ASF
0 - 0
USG
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olympic Niamey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 4
SON
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
NIG
4 - 1
OLY
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AKO
2 - 0
OLY
40%
30%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 0
DKA
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 0
USG
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |