ASFAN vs Nigelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 1
ASF
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
GNN
2 - 2
ASF
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
ASF
4 - 1
LFC
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
JAN
1 - 4
ASF
31%
29%
41%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DNI
1 - 1
ASF
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nigelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
NIG
1 - 0
GNN
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
WAC
1 - 1
NIG
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 17 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
NIG
0 - 1
OLY
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SAH
0 - 3
NIG
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
NIG
3 - 0
JAN
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |