ASFAN vs Nigelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
AKO
1 - 0
ASF
22%
29%
49%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
URA
1 - 1
ASF
18%
29%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ASF
3 - 2
DNI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +9 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
ASF
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ASF
0 - 0
URA
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nigelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NIG
1 - 1
SON
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NIG
0 - 1
POL
56%
26%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 1
NIG
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
NIG
1 - 0
TAG
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TAG
0 - 2
NIG
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |