ASFAN vs Nigelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
AKO
1 - 1
ASF
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
URA
0 - 1
ASF
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ASF
2 - 2
DNI
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
POL
0 - 1
ASF
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 1
ASF
33%
30%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nigelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
NIG
1 - 0
KAN
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
NIG
2 - 0
POL
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2014 |
DKA
0 - 1
NIG
35%
29%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 2
NIG
31%
30%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
ZUM
0 - 2
NIG
31%
30%
39%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |