ASFAN vs Alkali Nassara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
URA
0 - 1
ASF
41%
30%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
DKA
2 - 1
ASF
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
ASF
2 - 2
KAN
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
USG
0 - 2
ASF
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ASF
3 - 3
NIG
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alkali Nassara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
AKN
0 - 4
OLY
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
AKN
1 - 3
ESP
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
DNI
6 - 0
AKN
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
URA
1 - 0
AKN
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AKO
3 - 0
AKN
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |