Asenovets vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asenovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
RAK
1 - 1
ASE
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ASE
3 - 1
EVR
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
DIM
2 - 1
ASE
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ASE
3 - 0
CHB
67%
19%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
GIG
0 - 0
ASE
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
NES
1 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
NES
2 - 0
SLI
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ROZ
1 - 0
NES
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
NES
2 - 0
ZAG
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
KAR
0 - 2
NES
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |