Spezia vs Valenzana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 0
SPE
16%
23%
61%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
SPE
0 - 0
PAV
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACR
1 - 3
SPE
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SPE
3 - 1
ACM
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
OLB
1 - 1
SPE
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Valenzana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
OLB
1 - 0
VAL
53%
26%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 0
UNI
22%
27%
51%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACS
0 - 2
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 0
ACR
29%
28%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FSD
0 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |