Spezia vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
USC
0 - 0
SPE
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 1
FCC
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
FCC
0 - 2
SPE
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
SPE
3 - 1
NUO
65%
21%
15%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 3
USC
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
USC
0 - 0
SPE
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
USC
3 - 0
JUS
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
JUS
2 - 1
USC
28%
26%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
PIS
2 - 1
USC
45%
26%
30%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 3
USC
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |