Spezia vs AlbinoLeffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
SPE
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
TRE
2 - 0
SPE
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 1
SPE
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 0
SPA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ABN
2 - 0
TRE
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
ABN
1 - 1
REG
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
PIS
0 - 2
ABN
44%
29%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ABN
1 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 2
ABN
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |