Spezia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SAL
0 - 0
SPE
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
PRO
52%
27%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
RAV
2 - 0
SPE
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAD
46%
28%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 1
SPE
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SSS
1 - 1
TER
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 2
SSS
46%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
SSS
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SSS
0 - 0
GIU
54%
27%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 0
SSS
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |