Spezia vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
ACD
0 - 0
SPE
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 2
USC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
VNZ
0 - 0
SPE
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 0
LIV
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
NUO
1 - 1
SPE
33%
29%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
SAL
4 - 0
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
EMP
1 - 1
SAL
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SAL
3 - 2
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CTT
4 - 3
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASC
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |