Spezia vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 3
SPE
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
VER
2 - 1
SPE
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 0
CTT
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
USC
2 - 0
SPE
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PES
2 - 1
BEN
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 2
PES
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
PES
2 - 1
CRO
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PES
1 - 0
USF
43%
24%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
PES
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |