Spezia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
REG
1 - 1
SPE
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 6
NOV
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAS
3 - 2
SPE
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SPE
4 - 3
ASC
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPE
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 2
CRO
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CTT
0 - 2
LIV
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 2
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
EMP
2 - 1
LIV
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 0
LEO
82%
14%
5%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |