Spezia vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ASG
2 - 1
SPE
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 2
PAV
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 0
REG
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
USA
3 - 1
SPE
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACL
26%
28%
46%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 0
VER
23%
30%
47%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 1
FCS
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 2
ASG
34%
31%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
REG
2 - 2
FCS
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 1
PAG
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |