Sancataldese vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
15º
11º
54
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 81 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
2% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 30 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 27 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AKR
1 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAT
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ENN
0 - 0
SAN
13%
19%
69%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
LIC
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACI
31%
29%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 1
NIS
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POM
2 - 0
ASD
11%
16%
74%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USV
0 - 1
ASD
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
SIR
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ASD
2 - 2
AGR
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +4 |