ASD Sambiase vs Real Nocera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
NIS
4 - 1
ASD
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CIT
0 - 3
ASD
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ASD
0 - 1
ASD
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
ASD
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
ASD
2 - 0
VAL
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Nocera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
REA
1 - 2
ASD
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
REA
3 - 1
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
TUR
2 - 1
REA
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
REA
3 - 1
HYR
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
NOT
3 - 1
REA
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |