ASD Sambiase vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 1
ASD
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 2
CAV
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 0
ASD
63%
20%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 0
ASD
50%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ASD
3 - 2
USV
50%
26%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MES
0 - 0
GEL
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
USV
0 - 1
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MES
3 - 1
ACP
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
21%
24%
54%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MES
4 - 2
COM
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |