ASD Sambiase vs Montalto Comprensorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 1
ASD
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
RIO
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ASD
3 - 2
SER
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASD
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
NOT
3 - 1
ASD
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Montalto Comprensorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
GEL
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
USV
1 - 1
COM
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |