ASD Sambiase vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+169%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
GSM
2 - 0
ASD
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 0
FCR
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 2
ASD
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
ASD
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ASD
3 - 1
NIS
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TUR
2 - 2
CAS
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CAS
3 - 1
HYR
78%
15%
8%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 2
CAS
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CAS
3 - 1
FRA
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |