ASD Sambiase vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 1
ASD
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 2
ACS
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NUO
1 - 1
ASD
71%
19%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
LIC
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASD
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NUO
1 - 1
ACI
74%
18%
9%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACI
0 - 0
LIC
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
ACI
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACI
0 - 1
MES
36%
28%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
ACI
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |