ASD Sambiase vs Locri 1909 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
9º
4º
24
3º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 81 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
2% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 30 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 27 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 92% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
ASD
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 1
NIS
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POM
2 - 0
ASD
11%
16%
74%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USV
0 - 1
ASD
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
SIR
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 2
NIS
57%
20%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
LOC
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 1
USV
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 2
LOC
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
AKR
37%
24%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |