Real Metapontino vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Metapontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GLA
2 - 0
ARM
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 0
GRO
48%
23%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PUT
1 - 0
ARM
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
SSE
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 0
ARM
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GEL
3 - 2
REA
18%
24%
58%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
3 - 1
TAR
17%
24%
60%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
GEL
59%
23%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 1
MAT
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 1
FRA
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |