ASD Pontevecchio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
RIE
0 - 1
ASD
75%
17%
9%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ASD
0 - 0
ORV
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GAV
2 - 1
ASD
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
ASD
4 - 2
APC
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASD
5 - 0
MAS
13%
21%
66%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | +2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ASL
3 - 1
PON
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MAS
0 - 3
ASL
30%
31%
39%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 2
GSA
74%
18%
9%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 0
ASL
18%
27%
55%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASL
3 - 1
ASC
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |