ASD HinterReggio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD HinterReggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 2
ASD
74%
18%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
3 - 3
ACP
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASD
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
ASD
43%
29%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
VAL
51%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
ACP
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
MES
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MES
2 - 0
ACI
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
MES
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MES
0 - 2
ASD
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |