ASCOT vs Emat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASCOT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
3 - 0
ASC
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ASC
1 - 1
AFC
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
EFC
0 - 2
ASC
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
ASC
0 - 1
SJT
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
RND
1 - 1
ASC
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Emat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
FED
2 - 1
EFC
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
EFC
2 - 1
ELE
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
EFC
0 - 3
FED
23%
20%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
EFC
0 - 2
ASC
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 1
EFC
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |