Ascona vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
ASC
64%
19%
18%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ASC
3 - 1
HOC
44%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TEA
2 - 2
ASC
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GOL
6 - 1
ASC
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 1
RUS
57%
21%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
IBA
0 - 0
ESC
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TAV
0 - 1
IBA
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 0
SAR
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
IBA
4 - 1
KUS
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
HER
1 - 2
IBA
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |