Ascona vs Eschenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
EMM
0 - 1
ASC
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 0
FCB
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 2
ASC
33%
24%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 2
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 1
ASC
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 0
GOL
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 3
ESC
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ESC
4 - 3
IBA
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
GUN
1 - 3
ESC
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 1
WIN
7%
13%
80%
|
20 | 66 | 46 | 0 |