Ascona vs AS Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 0
ESC
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 1
GOL
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RUS
1 - 1
ASC
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
ASC
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 0
ASC
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 1
CAS
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
ESC
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BUO
3 - 1
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
ZOF
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KUS
1 - 1
CAS
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |