HLM vs Guédiawaye FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 0
HLM
39%
30%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
HLM
0 - 2
TFC
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
JAR
1 - 2
HLM
40%
30%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
HLM
1 - 1
PIK
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SJF
0 - 0
HLM
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Guédiawaye FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
GUE
1 - 0
SDI
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
OUA
3 - 1
GUE
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
GOR
0 - 1
GUE
36%
31%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
GUE
0 - 0
JAR
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
GUE
2 - 3
CAS
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |