Varese vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
FIO
3 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
JUV
0 - 0
VAR
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
REG
2 - 1
VAR
34%
31%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
ARZ
0 - 0
VAR
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
SAM
1 - 2
BOL
24%
29%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
TOR
1 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
SAM
1 - 0
USA
66%
23%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
SAM
3 - 0
ARZ
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
SAV
2 - 1
SAM
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |