Varese vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
23.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
58%
27%
14%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
VAR
3 - 2
LAZ
32%
32%
36%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
60%
26%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
VAR
2 - 1
LEC
51%
30%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
PES
1 - 0
RIM
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
VIC
2 - 1
PES
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
PES
2 - 1
SAM
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PES
70%
21%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 0
PES
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |