Varese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 1
VAR
38%
30%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
CAT
2 - 0
VAR
31%
30%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 1
ASC
49%
29%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
AVE
59%
26%
15%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
LEC
3 - 2
VAR
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
CAG
2 - 0
MOD
77%
18%
6%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 1
TER
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 0
MOD
52%
29%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
COM
2 - 0
MOD
71%
21%
8%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |