Varese vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIC
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPE
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAS
4 - 0
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 1
CES
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 2
PAD
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 2
PAD
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |