Varese vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
CAV
1 - 0
VAR
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
VAR
2 - 2
PIS
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
BAR
2 - 2
VAR
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOL
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
TRI
1 - 1
VAR
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 1
ARZ
71%
20%
9%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
ARZ
0 - 0
USF
60%
20%
19%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
PAL
0 - 1
ARZ
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
USC
1 - 0
ARZ
55%
21%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |