AS Sestese vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Sestese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VER
1 - 0
ASS
38%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 0
VER
38%
24%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 2
ASS
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 0
VAR
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 1
ASS
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 0
VIG
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FEN
4 - 4
MAG
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAG
0 - 1
BUS
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 1
MAG
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 2
ARC
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |